• Added value of a regional coupled model: the case study for marine heatwaves in the Caribbean 

      Pontoppidan, Marie; De Falco, Chiara; Mooney, Priscilla A.; Nummelin, Aleksi Henrynpoika; Tjiputra, Jerry (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      There is an urgent need to improve capacity to predict marine heatwaves given their substantial negative impacts on marine ecosystems. Here we present the added value of a regional climate simulation, performed with the ...
    • The added value of km-scale simulations to describe temperature over complex orography: the CORDEX FPS-Convection multi-model ensemble runs over the Alps 

      Soares, P.M.M.; Careto, J.A.M.; Cardoso, Rita M.; Goergen, Klaus; Katragkou, Eleni; Sobolowski, Stefan Pieter; Coppola, Erika; Ban, Nikolina; Belušić, Danijel; Berthou, Ségolène; Caillaud, Cécile; Dobler, Andreas; Hodnebrog, Øivind; Kartsios, Stergios; Lenderink, Geert; Lorenz, Torge; Milovac, Josipa; Feldmann, Hendrik; Pichelli, Emanuela; Truhetz, Heimo; Demory, Marie-Estelle; de Vries, Hylke; Warrach-Sagi, Kirsten; Keuler, Klaus; Raffa, Mario; Tölle, Merja H.; Sieck, Kevin; Bastin, Sophie (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
      The increase in computational resources has enabled the emergence of multi-model ensembles of convection-permitting regional climate model (CPRCM) simulations at very high horizontal resolutions. An example is the CORDEX ...
    • Climate change information over Fenno-Scandinavia produced with a convection-permitting climate model 

      Lind, Petter; Belušić, Danijel; Médus, Erika; Dobler, Andreas; Pedersen, Rasmus A.; Wang, Fuxing; Matte, Dominic; Kjellström, Erik; Landgren, Oskar Andreas; Lindstedt, David; Christensen, Ole B.; Christensen, Jens Hesselbjerg (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
      This paper presents results from high-resolution climate change simulations that permit convection and resolve mesoscale orography at 3-km grid spacing over Fenno-Scandinavia using the HARMONIE-Climate (HCLIM) model. Two ...
    • The first multi-model ensemble of regional climate simulations at kilometer-scale resolution, part I: evaluation of precipitation 

      Ban, Nikolina; Caillaud, Cécile; Coppola, Erika; Pichelli, Emanuela; Sobolowski, Stefan Pieter; Adinolfi, Marianna; Ahrens, Bodo; Alias, Antoinette; Anders, Ivonne; Bastin, Sophie; Belušić, Danijel; Berthou, Ségolène; Brisson, Erwan; Cardoso, Rita M.; Chan, Steven C.; Christensen, Ole Bøssing; Fernández, Jesús; Fita, Lluís; Frisius, Thomas; Gašparac, Goran; Giorgi, Filippo; Goergen, Klaus; Haugen, Jan Erik; Hodnebrog, Øivind; Kartsios, Stergios; Katragkou, Eleni; Kendon, Elizabeth J.; Keuler, Klaus; Lavin-Gullon, Alvaro; Lenderink, Geert; Leutwyler, David; Lorenz, Torge; Maraun, Douglas; Mercogliano, Paola; Milovac, Josipa; Panitz, Hans-Jürgen; Raffa, Mario; Remedio, Armelle Reca; Schär, Christoph; Soares, Pedro M.M.; Srnec, Lidija; Steensen, Birthe Marie Rødssæteren; Stocchi, Paolo; Tölle, Merja H.; Truhetz, Heimo; Vergara-Temprado, Jesus; de Vries, Hylke; Warrach-Sagi, Kirsten; Wulfmeyer, Volker; Zander, Mar Janne (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2021)
      Here we present the first multi-model ensemble of regional climate simulations at kilometer-scale horizontal grid spacing over a decade long period. A total of 23 simulations run with a horizontal grid spacing of ∼3 km, ...
    • Lagged oceanic effects on the East African short rains 

      Kolstad, Erik Wilhelm; MacLeod, David (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
      The East African ‘short rains’ in October–December (OND) exhibit large interannual variability. Drought and flooding are not unusual, and long-range rainfall forecasts can guide planning and preparedness for such events. ...
    • Relating model bias and prediction skill in the equatorial Atlantic 

      Counillon, Francois; Keenlyside, Noel; Toniazzo, Thomas; Koseki, Shunya; Demissie, Teferi Dejene; Bethke, Ingo; Wang, Yiguo (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2021)
      We investigate the impact of large climatological biases in the tropical Atlantic on reanalysis and seasonal prediction performance using the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (NorCPM) in a standard and an anomaly coupled ...
    • Representation of the Mozambique channel trough and its link to southern African rainfall in CMIP6 models 

      Barimalala, Rondrotiana; James, Rachel; Munday, Callum; Reason, Chris J.C. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
      The topography of Madagascar and the strength of the Mozambique Channel Trough (MCT) modulate summer rainfall over southern Africa. A strong MCT hinders the penetration of moisture bearing easterlies from the South Indian ...
    • Role of wind stress in driving SST biases in the tropical Atlantic 

      Voldoire, Aurore; Exarchou, Eleftheria; Sánchez-Gómez, Emilia; Demissie, Teferi Dejene; Deppenmeier, Anna-Lena; Frauen, Claudia; Goubanova, Katarina; Hazeleger, Wilco; Keenlyside, Noel; Koseki, Shunya; Prodhomme, Chloé; Shonk, Jonathan; Toniazzo, Thomas; Traoré, Abdoul-Khadre (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2019)
      Coupled climate models used for long-term future climate projections and seasonal or decadal predictions share a systematic and persistent warm sea surface temperature (SST) bias in the tropical Atlantic. This study attempts ...