• Characteristics of Surface “Melt Potential” over Antarctic Ice Shelves based on Regional Atmospheric Model Simulations of Summer Air Temperature Extremes from 1979/80 to 2018/19 

      Orr, Andrew; Deb, Pranab; Clem, Kyle R.; Gilbert, Ella; Bromwich, David H.; Boberg, Fredrik; Colwell, Steve; Hansen, Nicolaj; Lazzara, Matthew A.; Mooney, Priscilla A.; Mottram, Ruth; Niwano, Masashi; Phillips, Tony; Pishniak, Denys; Reijmer, Carleen H.; van de Berg, Willem Jan; Webster, Stuart; Zou, Xun (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      We calculate a regional surface “melt potential” index (MPI) over Antarctic ice shelves that describes the frequency (MPI-freq; %) and intensity (MPI-int; K) of daily maximum summer temperatures exceeding a melt threshold ...
    • Extreme Precipitation Changes in Europe from the Last Millennium to the End of the Twenty-First Century 

      Huo, Ran; Li, Lu; Chen, Hua; Xu, Chong-Yu; Chen, Jie; Guo, Shenglian (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2020)
      In this study, we aim to better understand the current and future projections of precipitation extremes in Europe in the context of climatic variability over a long-term period from the last millennium to the end of the ...
    • Mechanisms of Ocean Heat Uptake along and across Isopycnals 

      Clément, Louis; McDonagh, Elaine Louise; Gregory, J.M.; Wu, Q.; Marzocchi, A.; Zika, J.D.; Nurser, A.J.G. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
      Warming of the climate system accumulates mostly in the ocean and discrepancies in how this is modeled contribute to uncertainties in predicting sea level rise. In this study, regional temperature changes in an atmosphere–ocean ...
    • Recent Water Mass Changes Reveal Mechanisms of Ocean Warming 

      Zika, Jan D.; Gregory, Jonathan M.; McDonagh, Elaine Louise; Marzocchi, Alice; Clément, Louis (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2021)
      Over 90% of the buildup of additional heat in the Earth system over recent decades is contained in the ocean. Since 2006, new observational programs have revealed heterogeneous patterns of ocean heat content change. It is ...
    • Two Distinct Phases of North Atlantic Eastern Subpolar Gyre and Warming Hole Evolution under Global Warming 

      Ghosh, Rohit; Putrasahan, Dian; Manzini, Elisa; Lohmann, Katja; Keil, Paul; Hand, Ralf; Bader, Jürgen; Matei, Daniela; Jungclaus, Johann H. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      The North Atlantic subpolar gyre (SPG) plays a crucial role in determining the regional ocean surface temperature (SST), which has profound implications on the surrounding continental and coastal climate. Here, we analyze ...