• Arctic sea ice mass balance in a new coupled ice–ocean model using a brittle rheology framework 

      Boutin, Guillaume; Olason, Einar; Rampal, Pierre; Regan, Heather; Lique, Camille; Talandier, Claude; Brodeau, Laurent; Ricker, Robert (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      Sea ice is a key component of the Earth's climate system as it modulates the energy exchanges and associated feedback processes at the air–sea interface in polar regions. These exchanges have been suggested to strongly ...
    • Consequences of permafrost degradation for Arctic infrastructure - Bridging the model gap between regional and engineering scales 

      Schneider Von Deimling, Thomas; Lee, Hanna; Ingeman-Nielsen, Thomas; Westermann, Sebastian; Romanovsky, Vladimir; Lamoureux, Scott; Walker, Donald A.; Chadburn, Sarah E.; Trochim, Erin; Cai, Lei; Nitzbon, Jan; Jacobi, Stephan; Langer, Moritz (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
      Infrastructure built on perennially frozen ice-rich ground relies heavily on thermally stable subsurface conditions. Climate-warming-induced deepening of ground thaw puts such infrastructure at risk of failure. For better ...
    • Eemian Greenland ice sheet simulated with a higher-order model shows strong sensitivity to surface mass balance forcing 

      Plach, Andreas; Nisancioglu, Kerim Hestnes; Langebroek, Petra; Born, Andreas; Le clec'h, Sebastien (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2019)
      The Greenland ice sheet contributes increasingly to global sea level rise. Its history during past warm intervals is a valuable reference for future sea level projections. We present ice sheet simulations for the Eemian ...
    • Experimental protocol for sea level projections from ISMIP6 stand-alone ice sheet models 

      Nowicki, Sophie; Goelzer, Heiko; Seroussi, Hélène; Payne, Anthony J.; Lipscomb, William H.; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Agosta, Cécile; Alexander, Patrick; Asay-Davis, Xylar S; Barthel, Alice; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Cullather, Richard; Felikson, Denis; Fettweis, Xavier; Gregory, Jonathan M.; Hattermann, Tore; Jourdain, Nicolas C.; Munneke, Peter Kuipers; Larour, Eric; Little, Christopher M.; Morlighem, Mathieu; Nias, Isabel; Shepherd, Andrew; Simon, Erika; Slater, Donald; Smith, Robin; Straneo, Fiammetta; Trusel, Luke D.; van den Broeke, Michiel R.; Van de Wal, Roderik (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2020)
      Abstract. Projection of the contribution of ice sheets to sea level change as part of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) takes the form of simulations from coupled ice sheet–climate models and ...
    • GrSMBMIP: intercomparison of the modelled 1980-2012 surface mass balance over the Greenland Ice Sheet 

      Fettweis, Xavier; Hofer, Stefan; Krebs-Kanzow, Uta; Amory, Charles; Aoki, Teruo; Berends, Constantijn J.; Born, Andreas; Box, Jason E.; Delhasse, Alison; Fujita, Koji; Gierz, Paul; Goelzer, Heiko; Hanna, Edward; Hashimoto, Akihiro; Huybrechts, Philippe; Kapsch, Marie-Luise; King, Michaela D.; Kittel, Christoph; Lang, Charlotte; Langen, Peter L.; Lenaerts, Jan T.M.; Liston, Glen E.; Lohmann, Gerrit; Mernild, Jacob Sebastian Haugaard; Mikolajewicz, Uwe; Modali, Kameswarrao; Mottram, Ruth H.; Niwano, Masashi; Noël, Brice; Ryan, Jonathan C.; Smith, Amy; Streffing, Jan; Tedesco, Marco; Van de Berg, Willem Jan; Van den Broeke, Michiel; Van de Wal, Rodecrick S.; Von Kampenhout, Leo; Wilton, David; Wouters, Bert; Ziemen, Florian; Zolles, Tobias (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2020)
      Observations and models agree that the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) surface mass balance (SMB) has decreased since the end of the 1990s due to an increase in meltwater runoff and that this trend will accelerate in the future. ...
    • Impact of runoff temporal distribution on ice dynamics 

      Fleurian, Basile de; Davy, Richard; Langebroek, Petra (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
      Record highs of meltwater production at the surface of the Greenland ice sheet have been recorded with a high recurrence over the last decades. Those melt seasons with longer durations, larger intensities, or with both ...
    • Improving interpretation of sea-level projections through a machine-learning-based local explanation approach 

      Rohmer, Jeremy; Thiéblemont, Rémi; Le Cozannet, G.; Goelzer, Heiko; Durand, Gaël (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
      Process-based projections of the sea-level contribution from land ice components are often obtained from simulations using a complex chain of numerical models. Because of their importance in supporting the decision-making ...
    • Insights into the vulnerability of Antarctic glaciers from the ISMIP6 ice sheet model ensemble and associated uncertainty 

      Seroussi, Hélène; Verjans, Vincent; Nowicki, Sophie; Payne, Antony J.; Goelzer, Heiko; Lipscomb, William H.; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Agosta, Cécile; Albrecht, Torsten; Asay-Davis, Xylar S; Barthel, Alice; Calov, Reinhard; Cullather, Richard; Dumas, Christophe; Galton-Fenzi, Benjamin K.; Gladstone, Rupert; Golledge, Nicholas R.; Gregory, Jonathan M.; Greve, Ralf; Hattermann, Tore; Hoffman, Matthew J.; Humbert, Angelika; Huybrechts, Philippe; Jourdain, Nicolas C.; Kleiner, Thomas; Larour, Eric; Leguy, Gunter; Lowry, Daniel P.; Little, Christopher M.; Morlighem, Mathieu; Pattyn, Frank; Pelle, Tyler; Price, Stephen F.; Quiquet, Aurélien; Reese, Ronja; Schlegel, Nicole-Jeanne; Shepherd, Andrew; Simon, Erika; Smith, Robin S.; Straneo, Fiammetta; Sun, Sainan; Trusel, Luke D.; Van Breedam, Jonas; Van Katwyk, Peter; van de Wal, Roderik S.W.; Winkelmann, Ricarda; Zhao, Chen; Zhang, Tong; Zwinger, Thomas (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2023)
      The Antarctic Ice Sheet represents the largest source of uncertainty in future sea level rise projections, with a contribution to sea level by 2100 ranging from −5 to 43 cm of sea level equivalent under high carbon emission ...
    • Land–atmosphere interactions in sub-polar and alpine climates in the CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study Land Use and Climate Across Scales (LUCAS) models – Part 2: The role of changing vegetation 

      Mooney, Priscilla A.; Rechid, Diana; Davin, Edouard L.; Katragkou, Eleni; de Noblet-Ducoudré, Nathalie; Breil, Marcus; Cardosa, Rita M.; Daloz, Anne Sophie; Hoffmann, Peter; Lima, Daniela; Meier, R.; Soares, Pedro M.M.; Sofiadis, Giannis; Strada, Susanna; Strandberg, Gustav; Toelle, Merja; Lund, Marianne Tronstad (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
      Land cover in sub-polar and alpine regions of northern and eastern Europe have already begun changing due to natural and anthropogenic changes such as afforestation. This will impact the regional climate and hydrology upon ...
    • Linking scales of sea ice surface topography: evaluation of ICESat-2 measurements with coincident helicopter laser scanning during MOSAiC 

      Ricker, Robert; Fons, Steven; Jutila, Arttu; Hutter, Nils; Duncan, Kyle; Farrell, Sinead L.; Kurtz, Nathan T.; Hansen, Renee Mie Fredensborg (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      Information about sea ice surface topography and related deformation is crucial for studies of sea ice mass balance, sea ice modeling, and ship navigation through the ice pack. The Ice, Cloud, and land Elevation Satellite-2 ...
    • Projecting circum-Arctic excess-ground-ice melt with a sub-grid representation in the Community Land Model 

      Cai, Lei; Lee, Hanna; Aas, Kjetil Schanke; Westermann, Sebastian (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2020)
      To address the long-standing underrepresentation of the influences of highly variable ground ice content on the trajectory of permafrost conditions simulated in Earth system models under a warming climate, we implement a ...
    • Rain on snow (ROS) understudied in sea ice remote sensing: a multi-sensor analysis of ROS during MOSAiC (Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate) 

      Stroeve, Julienne; Nandan, Vishnu; Willatt, Rosemary; Dadic, Ruzica; Rostosky, Philip; Gallagher, Michael; Mallett, Robbie; Barrett, Andrew; Hendricks, Stefan; Tonboe, Rasmus; McCrystall, Michelle; Serreze, Mark; Thielke, Linda; Spreen, Gunnar; Newman, Thomas; Yackel, John; Ricker, Robert; Tsamados, Michel; Macfarlane, Amy; Hannula, Henna-Reetta; Schneebeli, Martin (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
      Arctic rain on snow (ROS) deposits liquid water onto existing snowpacks. Upon refreezing, this can form icy crusts at the surface or within the snowpack. By altering radar backscatter and microwave emissivity, ROS over sea ...
    • Representation of soil hydrology in permafrost regions may explain large part of inter-model spread in simulated Arctic and subarctic climate 

      de Vrese, Philipp; Georgievski, Goran; Gonzalez Rouco, Jesus Fidel; Notz, Dirk; Stacke, Tobias; Steinert, Norman; Wilkenskjeld, Stiig; Brovkin, Victor (Journal article, 2023)
      The current generation of Earth system models exhibits large inter-model differences in the simulated climate of the Arctic and subarctic zone, with differences in model structure and parametrizations being one of the main ...
    • The stability of present-day Antarctic grounding lines - Part 2: Onset of irreversible retreat of Amundsen Sea glaciers under current climate on centennial timescales cannot be excluded 

      Reese, Ronja; Garbe, Julius; Hill, Emily; Urruty, Benoit; Naughten, Kaitlin; Gagliardini, Olivier; Durand, Gael; Gillet-Chaulet, Fabien; Gudmundsson, G. Hilmar; Chandler, David Matthew; Langebroek, Petra; Winkelmann, Ricarda (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      Observations of ocean-driven grounding-line retreat in the Amundsen Sea Embayment in Antarctica raise the question of an imminent collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet. Here we analyse the committed evolution of Antarctic ...
    • The stability of present-day Antarctic grounding lines-Part 1: No indication of marine ice sheet instability in the current geometry 

      Hill, Emily A.; Urruty, Benoit; Reese, Ronja; Garbe, Julius; Gagliardini, Olivier; Durand, Gael; Gillet-Chaulet, Fabien; Gudmundsson, G. Hilmar; Winkelmann, Ricarda; Chekki, Mondher; Chandler, David Matthew; Langebroek, Petra (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      Theoretical and numerical work has shown that under certain circumstances grounding lines of marine-type ice sheets can enter phases of irreversible advance and retreat driven by the marine ice sheet instability (MISI). ...
    • Synoptic control on snow avalanche activity in central Spitsbergen 

      Hancock, Holt John; Hendrikx, Jordy; Eckerstorfer, Markus; Wickström, Siiri (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2021)
      Atmospheric circulation exerts an important control on a region's snow avalanche activity by broadly determining the mountain weather patterns that influence snowpack development and avalanche release. In central Spitsbergen, ...
    • Thaw processes in ice-rich permafrost landscapes represented with laterally coupled tiles in a land surface model 

      Aas, Kjetil Schanke; Martin, Leo Celestin Paul; Nitzbon, Jan; Langer, Moritz; Boike, Julia; Lee, Hanna; Berntsen, Terje Koren; Westermann, Sebastian (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2019)
      Earth system models (ESMs) are our primary tool for projecting future climate change, but their ability to represent small-scale land surface processes is currently limited. This is especially true for permafrost landscapes ...