Blar i NORCE vitenarkiv på forfatter "Abe-Ouchi, Ayako"
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Comparison of past and future simulations of ENSO in CMIP5/PMIP3 and CMIP6/PMIP4 models
Brown, Josephine; Brierley, Chris; Soon-Il, An; Guarino, Maria-Vittoria; Stevenson, Samantha; Williams, Charles J. R.; Zhang, Qiong; Zhao, Anni; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Braconnot, Pascale; Brady, Esther C.; Chandan, Deepak; D'Agostino, Roberta; Guo, Chuncheng; Legrande, Allegra N.; Lohmann, Gerrit; Morozova, Polina A.; Ohgaito, Rumi; O'ishi, Ryouta; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.; Peltier, W. Richard; Shi, Xiaoxu; Sime, Louise C.; Volodin, Evgeny M.; Zhang, Zhongshi; Zheng, Weipeng (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2020)El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the strongest mode of interannual climate variability in the current climate, influencing ecosystems, agriculture, and weather systems across the globe, but future projections of ENSO ... -
DeepMIP: model intercomparison of early Eocene climatic optimum (EECO) large-scale climate features and comparison with proxy data
Lunt, Daniel J.; Bragg, F.; Chan, Wing-Lee; Hutchinson, D.K.; Ladant, Jean-Baptiste; Morozova, Polina A.; Niezgodzki, I.; Steinig, S.; Zhang, Zhongshi; Zhu, J; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Anagnostou, Eleni; de Boer, A.M.; Coxall, H.K.; Donnadieu, Y.; Foster, G.; Inglis, Gordon N.; Knorr, Gregor; Langebroek, Petra; Lear, Caroline H.; Lohmann, G.; Poulsen, C.J.; Sepulchre, Pierre; Jones, Tom Dunkley; Hollis, Chris J.; Huber, M.; Otto-Bliesner, Bette (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2021)We present results from an ensemble of eight climate models, each of which has carried out simulations of the early Eocene climate optimum (EECO, ∼ 50 million years ago). These simulations have been carried out in the ... -
Experimental protocol for sea level projections from ISMIP6 stand-alone ice sheet models
Nowicki, Sophie; Goelzer, Heiko; Seroussi, Hélène; Payne, Anthony J.; Lipscomb, William H.; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Agosta, Cécile; Alexander, Patrick; Asay-Davis, Xylar S; Barthel, Alice; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Cullather, Richard; Felikson, Denis; Fettweis, Xavier; Gregory, Jonathan M.; Hattermann, Tore; Jourdain, Nicolas C.; Munneke, Peter Kuipers; Larour, Eric; Little, Christopher M.; Morlighem, Mathieu; Nias, Isabel; Shepherd, Andrew; Simon, Erika; Slater, Donald; Smith, Robin; Straneo, Fiammetta; Trusel, Luke D.; van den Broeke, Michiel R.; Van de Wal, Roderik (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2020)Abstract. Projection of the contribution of ice sheets to sea level change as part of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) takes the form of simulations from coupled ice sheet–climate models and ... -
Future sea level change under CMIP5 and CMIP6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets
Payne, Antony; Nowicki, Sophie; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Agosta, Cécile; Alexander, Patrick; Albrecht, Torsten; Asay-Davis, Xylar; Aschwanden, Andy; Barthel, Alice; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Calov, Reinhard; Chambers, Christopher; Choi, Youngmin; Cullather, Richard; Cuzzone, Joshua; Dumas, Christophe; Edwards, Tamsin L.; Felikson, Denis; Fettweis, Xavier; Galton-Fenzi, Benjamin K.; Goelzer, Heiko; Gladstone, Rupert; Golledge, Nicholas R.; Gregory, Jonathan M.; Greve, Ralf; Hattermann, Tore; Hoffman, Matthew J.; Humbert, Angelika; Huybrechts, Philippe; Jourdain, Nicolas C.; Kleiner, Thomas; Munneke, Peter Kuipers; Larour, Eric; Le clec'h, Sebastien; Lee, Victoria; Leguy, Gunter; Lipscomb, William H.; Little, Christopher M.; Lowry, Daniel P.; Morlighem, Mathieu; Nias, Isabel; Pattyn, Frank; Pelle, Tyler; Price, Stephen F.; Quiquet, Aurélien; Reese, Ronja; Rückamp, Martin; Schlege, Nicole-Jeanne; Seroussi, Hélène; Shepherd, Andrew; Simon, Erika; Slater, Donald; Smith, Robin S.; Straneo, Fiammetta; Sun, Sainan; Tarasov, Lev; Truse, Luke D.; Van Breedam, Jonas; van de Wal, Roderik; van den Broeke, Michiel; Winkelmann, Ricarda; Zhao, Chen; Zhang, Tong; Zwinger, Thomas (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2021)Projections of the sea level contribution from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets (GrIS and AIS) rely on atmospheric and oceanic drivers obtained from climate models. The Earth System Models participating in the Coupled ... -
The hydrological cycle and ocean circulation of the Maritime Continent in the Pliocene: results from PlioMIP2
Ren, Xin; Lunt, Daniel J.; Hendy, Erica; Von Der Heydt, Anna; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Otto-Bliesner, Bette; Williams, Charles J. R.; Stepanek, Christian; Guo, Chuncheng; Chandan, Deepak; Lohmann, Gerrit; Tindall, Julia C.; Sohl, Linda E.; Chandler, Mark A.; Kageyama, Masa; Baatsen, Michiel L. J.; Tan, Ning; Zhang, Qiong; Feng, Ran; Hunter, Stephen; Chan, Wing-Le; Peltier, W. Richard; Li, Xiangyu; Kamae, Youichi; Zhang, Zhongshi; Haywood, Alan M. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2023)The Maritime Continent (MC) forms the western boundary of the tropical Pacific Ocean, and relatively small changes in this region can impact the climate locally and remotely. In the mid-Piacenzian warm period of the Pliocene ... -
Impact of Mountains in Southern China on the Eocene Climates of East Asia
Zhang, Zijian; Zhang, Zhongshi; He, Zhilin; Tan, Ning; Guo, Zhengtang; Zhu, Jiang; Steinig, Sebastian; Donnadieu, Yannick; Ladant, Jean-Baptiste; Chan, Wing-Le; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Niezgodzki, Igor; Knorr, Gregor; Hutchinson, David K.; de Boer, Agatha M. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)Inconsistencies in the Eocene climates of East Asia have been revealed in both geological studies and simulations. Several earlier reconstructions showed an arid zonal band in mid-latitude China, but others showed a humid ... -
Insights into the vulnerability of Antarctic glaciers from the ISMIP6 ice sheet model ensemble and associated uncertainty
Seroussi, Hélène; Verjans, Vincent; Nowicki, Sophie; Payne, Antony J.; Goelzer, Heiko; Lipscomb, William H.; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Agosta, Cécile; Albrecht, Torsten; Asay-Davis, Xylar S; Barthel, Alice; Calov, Reinhard; Cullather, Richard; Dumas, Christophe; Galton-Fenzi, Benjamin K.; Gladstone, Rupert; Golledge, Nicholas R.; Gregory, Jonathan M.; Greve, Ralf; Hattermann, Tore; Hoffman, Matthew J.; Humbert, Angelika; Huybrechts, Philippe; Jourdain, Nicolas C.; Kleiner, Thomas; Larour, Eric; Leguy, Gunter; Lowry, Daniel P.; Little, Christopher M.; Morlighem, Mathieu; Pattyn, Frank; Pelle, Tyler; Price, Stephen F.; Quiquet, Aurélien; Reese, Ronja; Schlegel, Nicole-Jeanne; Shepherd, Andrew; Simon, Erika; Smith, Robin S.; Straneo, Fiammetta; Sun, Sainan; Trusel, Luke D.; Van Breedam, Jonas; Van Katwyk, Peter; van de Wal, Roderik S.W.; Winkelmann, Ricarda; Zhao, Chen; Zhang, Tong; Zwinger, Thomas (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2023)The Antarctic Ice Sheet represents the largest source of uncertainty in future sea level rise projections, with a contribution to sea level by 2100 ranging from −5 to 43 cm of sea level equivalent under high carbon emission ... -
Large-scale features of Last Interglacial climate: results from evaluating the lig127k simulations for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6)–Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project (PMIP4)
Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.; Brady, Esther C.; Zhao, Anni; Brierley, Chris M.; Axford, Yarrow; Capron, Emilie; Govin, Aline; Hoffman, Jeremy S.; Isaacs, Elizabeth; Kageyama, Masa; Scussolini, Paolo; Tzedakis, Polychronis C.; Williams, Charles J.R.; Wolff, Eric W.; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Braconnot, Pascale; Ramos Buarque, Silvana; Cao, Jian; de Vernal, Anne; Vittoria Guarino, Maria; Guo, Chuncheng; Legrande, Allegra N.; Lohmann, Gerrit; Meissner, Katrin J.; Menviel, Laurie; Morozova, Polina A.; Nisancioglu, Kerim H.; O'Ishi, Ryouta; Mélia, David Salas Y.; Shi, Xaoxu; Sicard, Marie; Sime, Louise C.; Stepanek, Christian; Tomas, Robert A.; Volodin, Evgeny; Yeung, Nicholas K.H.; Zhang, Qiong; Zhang, Zhongshi; Zheng, Weipeng (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2021)The modeling of paleoclimate, using physically based tools, is increasingly seen as a strong out-of-sample test of the models that are used for the projection of future climate changes. New to the Coupled Model Intercomparison ... -
Lessons from a high-CO2 world: an ocean view from ∼ 3 million years ago
McClymont, Erin L.; Ford, Heather; Ho, Sze Ling; Tindall, Julia C.; Haywood, Alan M.; Alonso-Garcia, Montserrat; Bailey, Ian; Berke, Melissa A.; Littler, Kate; Patterson, Molly O.; Petrick, Benjamin; Peterse, Francien; Ravelo, Ana Christina; Risebrobakken, Bjørg; De Schepper, Stijn; Swann, George E. A.; Kaustubh, Thirumalai; Tierney, Jessica E; Van der Weijst, Carolien; White, Sarah; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Baatsen, Michiel L. J.; Brady, Esther C.; Chan, Wing-Le; Chandan, Deepak; Ran, Feng; Guo, Chenchen Guo; von der Heydt, Anna S.; Stephen, Hunter; Xiangyi, Li; Lohmann, Gerrit; Nisancioglu, Kerim Hestnes; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.; Peltier, Richard W.; Stepanek, Christian; Zhang, Zhongshi (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2020)A range of future climate scenarios are projected for high atmospheric CO2 concentrations, given uncertainties over future human actions as well as potential environmental and climatic feedbacks. The geological record ... -
Mid-Pliocene Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation simulated in PlioMIP2
Zhang, Zhongshi; Li, Xiangyu; Guo, Chuncheng; Otterå, Odd Helge; Nisancioglu, Kerim Hestnes; Tan, Ning; Contoux, Camille; Ramstein, Gilles; Feng, Ran; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.; Brady, Esther C.; Chandan, Deepak; Richard Peltier, Peltier; Baatsen, Michiel L. J.; Von Der Heydt, Anna S.; Weiffenbach, Julia E.; Stepanek, Christian; Lohmann, Gerrit; Zhang, Qiong; Li, Qiang; Chandler, Mark A.; Sohl, Linda E.; Haywood, Alan M.; Hunter, Stephen J.; Tindall, Julia C.; Williams, Charles; Lunt, Daniel J.; Chan, Wing-Le; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2021)In the Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2 (PlioMIP2), coupled climate models have been used to simulate an interglacial climate during the mid-Piacenzian warm period (mPWP; 3.264 to 3.025 Ma). Here, we compare ... -
Mid-Pliocene West African Monsoon rainfall as simulated in the PlioMIP2 ensemble
Berntell, Ellen; Zhang, Qiong; Li, Qiang; Haywood, Alan M.; Tindall, Julia C.; Hunter, Stephen J.; Zhang, Zhongshi; Xiangyu, Li; Guo, Chuncheng; Nisancioglu, Kerim Hestnes; Stepanek, Christian; Lohmann, Gerrit; Sohl, Linda E.; Chandler, Mark A.; Tan, Ning; Contoux, Camille; Ramstein, Gilles; Baatsen, Michiel L. J.; von der Heydt, Anna S.; Chandan, Deepak; Peltier, W. Richard; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Chan, Wing-Le; Kamae, Youichi; Williams, Charles J. R.; Lunt, Daniel J.; Feng, Ran; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.; Brady, Esther C. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)The mid-Pliocene warm period (mPWP; ∼3.2 million years ago) is seen as the most recent time period characterized by a warm climate state, with similar to modern geography and ∼400 ppmv atmospheric CO2 concentration, and ... -
A multi-model CMIP6-PMIP4 study of Arctic sea ice at 127 ka: sea ice data compilation and model differences
Kageyama, Masa; Sime, Louise C.; Sicard, Marie; Guarino, Maria-Vittoria; De Vernal, A; Stein, Ruediger; Schroeder, david; Malmierca-Vallet, Irene; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Bitz, Cecilia M.; Braconnot, Pascale; Brady, Esther C.; Cao, Jian; Chamberlain, Matthew; Feltham, Danny; Guo, Chuncheng; Legrande, Allegra N.; Lohmann, Gerrit; Meissner, Katrin; Menviel, Laurie; Nisancioglu, Kerim Hestnes; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.; O'ishi, Ryouta; Ramos Buarque, Silvan; Salas y Mélia, David; Sherriff-Tadano, Sam; Stroeve, Julienne C.; Shi, Xiaoxu; Sun, Bo; Thomas, Robert; Volodin, Evgeny; Yeung, Nicholas K.H.; Zhang, Qiong; Zhang, Zhongshi; Zheng, Weipeng; Ziehn, Tilo (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2021)The Last Interglacial period (LIG) is a period with increased summer insolation at high northern latitudes, which results in strong changes in the terrestrial and marine cryosphere. Understanding the mechanisms for this ... -
On the climatic influence of CO2 forcing in the Pliocene
Burton, Lauren E.; Haywood, Alan M.; Tindall, Julia C.; Dolan, Aisling M.; Hill, Daniel J.; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Chan, Wing-Le; Chandan, Deepak; Feng, Ran; Hunter, Stephen J.; Li, Xiangyu; Peltier, W. Richard; Tan, Ning; Stepanek, Christian; Zhang, Zhongshi (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2023)Understanding the dominant climate forcings in the Pliocene is crucial to assessing the usefulness of the Pliocene as an analogue for our warmer future. Here, we implement a novel yet simple linear factorisation method to ... -
Past terrestrial hydroclimate sensitivity controlled by Earth system feedbacks
Feng, Ran; Bhattacharya, Tripti; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.; Brady, Esther C.; Haywood, Alan M.; Tindall, Julia C.; Hunter, Stephen J.; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Chan, Wing-Le; Kageyama, Masa; Contoux, Camille; Guo, Chuncheng; Li, Xiangyu; Lohmann, Gerrit; Stepanek, Christian; Tan, Ning; Zhang, Qiong; Zhang, Zhongshi; Han, Zixuan; Williams, Charles J. R.; Lunt, Daniel J.; Dowsett, Harry J.; Chandan, Deepak; Peltier, W. Richard (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)Despite tectonic conditions and atmospheric CO2 levels (pCO2) similar to those of present-day, geological reconstructions from the mid-Pliocene (3.3-3.0 Ma) document high lake levels in the Sahel and mesic conditions in ... -
The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: large-scale climate features and climate sensitivity
Haywood, Alan M.; Tindall, Julia C.; Dowsett, Harry J.; Dolan, Aisling M.; Foley, Kevin M.; Hunter, Stephen J.; Hill, Daniel J.; Chan, Wing-Le; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Stepanek, Christian; Lohmann, Gerrit; Chandan, Deepak; Peltier, Richard W.; Tan, Ning; Contoux, Camille; Ramstein, Gilles; Li, Xiangyu; Zhang, Zhongshi; Guo, Chuncheng; Nisancioglu, Kerim Hestnes; Zhang, Qiong; Li, Qiang; Kamae, Youichi; Chandler, Mark A.; Sohl, Linda E.; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.; Feng, Ran; Brady, Esther C.; von der Heydt, Anna S.; Baatsen, Michiel L. J.; Lunt, Daniel J (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2020)The Pliocene epoch has great potential to improve our understanding of the long-term climatic and environmental consequences of an atmospheric CO2 concentration near ~ 400 parts per million by volume. Here we present the ... -
Reduced El Niño variability in the mid-Pliocene according to the PlioMIP2 ensemble
Oldeman, Arthur M.; Baatsen, Michiel L. J.; Von Der Heydt, Anna S.; Dijkstra, Henk A.; Tindall, Julia C.; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Booth, Alice R.; Brady, Esther C.; Chan, Wing-Le; Chandan, Deepak; Chandler, Mark A.; Contoux, Camille; Feng, Ran; Guo, Chuncheng; Haywood, Alan M.; Hunter, Stephen J.; Kamae, Youichi; Li, Qiang; Li, Xiangyu; Lohmann, Gerrit; Lunt, Daniel J.; Nisancioglu, Kerim Hestnes; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.; Peltier, W. Richard; Pontes, Gabriel M.; Ramstein, Gilles; Sohl, Linda E.; Stepanek, Christian; Tan, Ning; Zhang, Qiong; Zhang, Zhongshi; Wainer, Ilana; Williams, Charles J. R. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)The mid-Pliocene warm period (3.264–3.025 Ma) is the most recent geological period during which atmospheric CO2 levels were similar to recent historical values (∼400 ppm). Several proxy reconstructions for the mid-Pliocene ... -
Unraveling the mechanisms and implications of a stronger mid-Pliocene Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) in PlioMIP2
Weiffenbach, Julia E.; Baatsen, Michiel L. J.; Dijkstra, Henk A.; Von Der Heydt, Anna S.; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako; Brady, Esther C.; Chan, Wing-Le; Chandan, Deepak; Chandler, Mark A.; Contoux, Camille; Feng, Ran; Guo, Chuncheng; Han, Zixuan; Haywood, Alan M.; Li, Qiang; Li, Xiangyu; Lohmann, Gerrit; Lunt, Daniel J.; Nisancioglu, Kerim Hestnes; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.; Peltier, W. Richard; Ramstein, Gilles; Sohl, Linda E.; Stepanek, Christian; Tan, Ning; Tindall, Julia C.; Williams, Charles J. R.; Zhang, Qiong; Zhang, Zhongshi (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)The mid-Pliocene warm period (3.264–3.025 Ma) is the most recent geological period in which the atmospheric CO2 concentration was approximately equal to the concentration we measure today (ca. 400 ppm). Sea surface temperature ...